TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$333,432,169

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,971,286,090

419,492

Markets across

40,634

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,654

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Lowest temperature in San Francisco on Oct 2, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in San Francisco on Oct 2, 2026?

Volume:
$3,133

55° to 56°

 - Kalshi

55° to 56° - Kalshi

1W

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Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 3, 2026

Closed: Oct 3, 4:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

55° to 56°

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,174
N/A
N/A
$1,143
Settled
Yes
kalshi

57° to 58°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$570
N/A
N/A
$452
Settled
No
kalshi

53° to 54°

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$569
N/A
N/A
$501
Settled
No
kalshi

52° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$352
N/A
N/A
$352
Settled
No
kalshi

59° to 60°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$314
N/A
N/A
$302
Settled
No
kalshi

61° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$153
N/A
N/A
$153
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in San Francisco on a specific future date, using data from a designated weather provider. The outcome depends entirely on the exact temperature reading reported for that day, with different markets covering various temperature ranges.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the minimum temperature recorded at San Francisco (CLISFO) on October 2, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 52°F or below, 53°F-54°F, 55°F-56°F, 57°F-58°F, 59°F-60°F, or above 60°F. The Exchange retains discretion to delay resolution if it identifies material errors in the initial data publication, extending the evaluation period until either a corrected value is published or the expiration date passes. If data remains unavailable by the expiration date, all markets resolve at the last fair price determined by Kalshi. Preliminary readings may differ from final values due to rounding or conversion, and the "Final" status on weather.com/kalshi is informational only and does not override these resolution procedures.