TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 4:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in San Francisco on a specific future date, using data from a designated weather provider. The outcome depends entirely on the exact temperature reading reported for that day, with different markets covering various temperature ranges.
All markets resolve based solely on the minimum temperature recorded at San Francisco (CLISFO) on October 2, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 52°F or below, 53°F-54°F, 55°F-56°F, 57°F-58°F, 59°F-60°F, or above 60°F. The Exchange retains discretion to delay resolution if it identifies material errors in the initial data publication, extending the evaluation period until either a corrected value is published or the expiration date passes. If data remains unavailable by the expiration date, all markets resolve at the last fair price determined by Kalshi. Preliminary readings may differ from final values due to rounding or conversion, and the "Final" status on weather.com/kalshi is informational only and does not override these resolution procedures.