TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 20, 4:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the lowest temperature that will occur in San Francisco on a specific future date, using data from a designated weather provider. Participants can speculate on whether temperatures will fall within certain narrow ranges or exceed a specific threshold. The outcome depends entirely on the official temperature recording for that location and date.
All markets resolve based on the minimum temperature recorded at San Francisco (CLISFO) on October 19, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: below 50°F, 50-51°F, 52-53°F, 54-55°F, 56-57°F, or above 57°F. The Exchange may delay resolution if it identifies a material error in the initial data publication, extending the evaluation until a corrected version is released or the expiration date arrives. If data remains unavailable by the expiration date, markets resolve at the last fair price determined by the Exchange. Preliminary readings may differ from final values due to rounding or conversion, so users should exercise caution when interpreting early data. The status "Final" on The Weather Company’s platform is informational only and does not exempt the data from potential revision or Exchange review.