TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 4:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in San Francisco on a specific date in the future, using data from a designated weather provider. The outcome depends entirely on how cold it gets during that night, with different temperature ranges determining the result.
All markets resolve based solely on the minimum temperature recorded at San Francisco (CLISFO) on October 16, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 53°F or below, 54-55°F, 56-57°F, 58-59°F, 60-61°F, or 62°F and above. The Exchange retains discretion to delay resolution if it identifies material errors in the initial data publication, extending the evaluation period until a corrected revision is published or the expiration date arrives. If data remains unavailable by the expiration date, all markets resolve at the last fair price determined by Kalshi. Preliminary readings may differ from final values due to rounding or conversion, so participants should exercise caution when interpreting early data. The "Final" status on weather.com/kalshi is informational only and does not exempt the data from potential correction or Exchange review.