TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.5b

24H VOL:

$271,200,656

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,922,627,141

420,368

Markets across

40,352

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,484

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Lowest temperature in San Francisco on Oct 16, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in San Francisco on Oct 16, 2026?

Volume:
$2,507

58° to 59°

 - Kalshi

58° to 59° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 17, 2026

Closed: Oct 17, 4:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

58° to 59°

View
100%
11%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,122
N/A
N/A
$939
Settled
Yes
kalshi

62° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$570
N/A
N/A
$545
Settled
No
kalshi

56° to 57°

0%
25%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$451
N/A
N/A
$380
Settled
No
kalshi

53° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$151
N/A
N/A
$141
Settled
No
kalshi

54° to 55°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$121
N/A
N/A
$120
Settled
No
kalshi

60° to 61°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$92
N/A
N/A
$92
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in San Francisco on a specific date in the future, using data from a designated weather provider. The outcome depends entirely on how cold it gets during that night, with different temperature ranges determining the result.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the minimum temperature recorded at San Francisco (CLISFO) on October 16, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 53°F or below, 54-55°F, 56-57°F, 58-59°F, 60-61°F, or 62°F and above. The Exchange retains discretion to delay resolution if it identifies material errors in the initial data publication, extending the evaluation period until a corrected revision is published or the expiration date arrives. If data remains unavailable by the expiration date, all markets resolve at the last fair price determined by Kalshi. Preliminary readings may differ from final values due to rounding or conversion, so participants should exercise caution when interpreting early data. The "Final" status on weather.com/kalshi is informational only and does not exempt the data from potential correction or Exchange review.