TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.7b

24H VOL:

$279,496,801

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,923,931,766

416,910

Markets across

40,107

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,571

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
Dashboards
Tour
All
Lowest temperature in San Francisco on Oct 15, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in San Francisco on Oct 15, 2026?

Volume:
$2,103

54° to 55°

 - Kalshi

54° to 55° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 16, 2026

Closed: Oct 16, 4:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

54° to 55°

View
100%
25%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,068
N/A
N/A
$816
Settled
Yes
kalshi

50° to 51°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$387
N/A
N/A
$190
Settled
No
kalshi

52° to 53°

0%
11%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$243
N/A
N/A
$193
Settled
No
kalshi

48° to 49°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$166
N/A
N/A
$165
Settled
No
kalshi

47° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$125
N/A
N/A
$125
Settled
No
kalshi

56° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$114
N/A
N/A
$114
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in San Francisco on a specific date, using data from a designated weather provider. The outcome depends on where the temperature falls within predefined ranges, offering various possibilities for how cold the city will be on that day.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the minimum temperature recorded in San Francisco (CLISFO) on October 15, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 47° or below, 48-49°, 50-51°, 52-53°, 54-55°, or 56° and above. The official temperature value comes exclusively from The Weather Company, and users should be aware that preliminary data may differ from the final reported value due to rounding or conversion issues. If the Exchange identifies a material error in the initial data publication, it may delay expiration until a corrected version is released or until the expiration date, whichever comes first. If no data remains available by the expiration date, all markets will resolve to the last fair price determined by Kalshi. The "Final" status on The Weather Company’s platform is for convenience and does not guarantee data accuracy or exempt the event from these error-resolution procedures.