TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.8b

24H VOL:

$260,393,102

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,894,304,386

408,643

Markets across

39,771

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,493

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Lowest temperature in San Francisco on Oct 14, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in San Francisco on Oct 14, 2026?

Volume:
$3,076

51° to 52°

 - Kalshi

51° to 52° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 15, 2026

Closed: Oct 15, 4:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

51° to 52°

View
100%
11%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,253
N/A
N/A
$1,152
Settled
Yes
kalshi

49° to 50°

0%
10%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$747
N/A
N/A
$615
Settled
No
kalshi

53° to 54°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$730
N/A
N/A
$714
Settled
No
kalshi

47° to 48°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$178
N/A
N/A
$178
Settled
No
kalshi

55° or above

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$129
N/A
N/A
$124
Settled
No
kalshi

46° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$39
N/A
N/A
$39
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature reached in San Francisco on a specific future date, using data from a designated weather provider. The outcome depends entirely on the exact numerical reading recorded, with different markets corresponding to various temperature ranges.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the minimum temperature recorded at San Francisco (CLISFO) on October 14, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: below 47°F, 47-48°F, 49-50°F, 51-52°F, 53-54°F, or above 54°F. The Exchange retains discretion to delay resolution if material errors are identified in preliminary data, extending until either a corrected publication or the expiration date. If data remains unavailable by expiration, markets resolve at the last fair price determined by Kalshi. While other weather sources may offer similar data, only The Weather Company's official report governs the outcome, and preliminary readings may differ from final values due to rounding or conversion factors.