TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$228,458,490

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,879,276,037

410,833

Markets across

40,345

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,363

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
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Lowest temperature in San Francisco on Oct 12, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in San Francisco on Oct 12, 2026?

Volume:
$11,857

50° to 51°

 - Kalshi

50° to 51° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 13, 2026

Closed: Oct 13, 4:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

50° to 51°

View
100%
29%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,317
N/A
N/A
$781
Settled
Yes
kalshi

56° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,821
N/A
N/A
$4,806
Settled
No
kalshi

52° to 53°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,084
N/A
N/A
$2,928
Settled
No
kalshi

54° to 55°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,632
N/A
N/A
$1,516
Settled
No
kalshi

48° to 49°

0%
23%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$762
N/A
N/A
$663
Settled
No
kalshi

47° or below

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$241
N/A
N/A
$216
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in San Francisco on a specific date, using data from a designated weather provider. Participants can assess various temperature ranges to predict how cold the city will be on that day.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the minimum temperature recorded at San Francisco (CLISFO) on October 12, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 47° or below, 48-49°, 50-51°, 52-53°, 54-55°, or above 55°. The official data source is The Weather Company, and any discrepancies or errors in preliminary reports may delay resolution until corrected or until the expiration date. If data remains unavailable by the expiration date, markets will resolve to the last fair price determined by the exchange. Preliminary data may include rounding or conversion differences, and a "Final" status on weather.com/kalshi does not guarantee error-free data.