TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
This event tracks the lowest temperature reached in San Francisco on a specific future date, using data from a designated weather provider. The outcome depends entirely on the official temperature recording for that day, with precise thresholds defining different possible results.
All markets resolve based solely on the minimum temperature recorded at San Francisco (CLISFO) on October 11, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 46°F or below, 47-48°F, 49-50°F, 51-52°F, 53-54°F, or 55°F and above. The Exchange retains discretion to delay resolution if it identifies material errors in the initial data publication, extending the evaluation period until either a corrected value is published or the expiration date passes. If data remains unavailable by the expiration date, all markets resolve at the last fair price determined by the Exchange. Preliminary readings may differ from final values due to rounding or conversion, and the status of 'Final' on The Weather Company's platform does not guarantee error-free data.