TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
51° to 52°
- Kalshi
51° to 52° - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 3, 2026
Time left: 15h:01m:42s
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This set of markets focuses on predicting the lowest temperature that will be recorded in San Francisco on a specific date in the future. Participants can bet on different temperature ranges, with the outcome determined by official weather data from a designated source.
All markets resolve based on the minimum temperature recorded at San Francisco (CLISFO) on November 2, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 46°F or below, 47°F to 48°F, 49°F to 50°F, 51°F to 52°F, 53°F to 54°F, or 55°F or above. The market associated with the actual recorded minimum temperature range will resolve to Yes, with all others resolving to No. The Exchange retains discretion to address material errors in the initial data publication, potentially delaying resolution until a corrected version is released or until the expiration date. If data remains unavailable by the expiration date, markets will resolve to the last fair price determined by Kalshi. It is important to note that while preliminary data may be subject to rounding or conversion differences, only the final reported value from The Weather Company is authoritative for resolution purposes.