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Lowest temperature in San Francisco on Jun 6, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in San Francisco on Jun 6, 2026?

Volume:
$4,744

52° to 53°

 - Kalshi

52° to 53° - Kalshi

1W

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Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 7, 2026

Closed: Jun 7, 4:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

52° to 53°

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,668
N/A
N/A
$1,359
Settled
Yes
kalshi

54° to 55°

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,753
N/A
N/A
$1,508
Settled
No
kalshi

50° to 51°

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$462
N/A
N/A
$437
Settled
No
kalshi

47° or below

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$313
N/A
N/A
$308
Settled
No
kalshi

56° or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$286
N/A
N/A
$283
Settled
No
kalshi

48° to 49°

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$262
N/A
N/A
$252
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

The minimum temperature in San Francisco on June 6, 2026, will be recorded by the National Weather Service. This event captures the overnight low temperature for that specific date in the coastal California city.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, the lowest temperature in San Francisco on June 6 is priced through binary or range-based contracts that divide the temperature spectrum into discrete outcomes. Traders buy or sell shares corresponding to their belief about whether the actual low will fall within each range. Prices fluctuate between 0 and 100 cents based on supply, demand, and incoming weather information. As the event date nears, prices typically converge toward the realized outcome, reflecting increased certainty among market participants about the final temperature reading.

The market resolves on Jun 7, 2026, after the calendar day of June 6, 2026 concludes and the official low temperature is recorded. Resolution depends on the verified minimum temperature reading for San Francisco on that date, sourced from designated meteorological authorities. Once the official low is confirmed, the market settles according to which outcome bracket contains that temperature. Traders holding shares in the correct outcome receive their payout, while incorrect positions expire worthless.

Major weather pattern shifts, seasonal climate anomalies, and updated meteorological forecasts will drive price movement in this market. El Niño or La Niña conditions, atmospheric pressure systems, and jet stream positioning influence June temperatures in San Francisco. Long-range weather models released in the weeks before June 6 will provide increasingly precise forecasts, causing traders to adjust positions. Historical temperature records and climate trends for early June also inform pricing. As the event date approaches, short-term weather updates and real-time atmospheric data will create final price adjustments before resolution.