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Science and Technology
Lowest temperature in San Francisco on Jul 31, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in San Francisco on Jul 31, 2026?

Volume:
$6,123

57° to 58°

 - Kalshi

57° to 58° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 1, 2026

Closed: Aug 1, 4:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

57° to 58°

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,954
N/A
N/A
$1,529
Settled
Yes
kalshi

55° to 56°

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,333
N/A
N/A
$1,477
Settled
No
kalshi

59° or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,351
N/A
N/A
$657
Settled
No
kalshi

51° to 52°

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$308
N/A
N/A
$308
Settled
No
kalshi

50° or below

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$157
N/A
N/A
$157
Settled
No
kalshi

53° to 54°

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$21
N/A
N/A
$18
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in San Francisco on a specific date, using official government data. The outcome depends on where the exact minimum temperature falls within predefined ranges, reflecting how precise weather measurements can influence real-world assessments.

Kalshi

The event determines the outcome based on the minimum temperature recorded in San Francisco on July 31, 2026, as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily) for San Francisco Airport. Six distinct temperature ranges are defined, each corresponding to a separate market outcome. If the recorded minimum temperature falls within a specific range, that market resolves to Yes, with all others resolving to No. The official data source is critical; traders must refer to the NWS report linked in the rules, as preliminary or third-party data may differ due to rounding or conversion nuances. The final temperature value from the NWS report is definitive, and all participants must use the latest available version of the data after the date in question. The structure ensures that only one market can resolve to Yes, corresponding to the exact temperature range in which the official minimum falls.