TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 30, 4:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in San Francisco on a specific date, using official government data. The outcome depends on where the exact minimum temperature falls within predefined ranges, reflecting how precise weather measurements can influence real-world assessments.
The event resolves based on the official minimum temperature recorded at San Francisco Airport on July 29, 2026, as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Six distinct temperature ranges are defined, each corresponding to a separate market outcome. If the recorded minimum temperature falls within a specific range, that market resolves to Yes, with all others resolving to No. The National Weather Service's report is the sole authoritative source, and traders must use the latest available data from the specified URL. Due to potential rounding and conversion nuances in preliminary reports, caution is advised when interpreting early or unofficial data. The event emphasizes reliance on standardized, government-issued meteorological data for resolution.