TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Lowest temperature in San Francisco on Jul 29, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in San Francisco on Jul 29, 2026?

Volume:
$5,213

58° to 59°

 - Kalshi

58° to 59° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 30, 2026

Closed: Jul 30, 4:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

58° to 59°

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,642
N/A
N/A
$1,446
Settled
Yes
kalshi

56° to 57°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,668
N/A
N/A
$810
Settled
No
kalshi

54° to 55°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$445
N/A
N/A
$413
Settled
No
kalshi

60° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$400
N/A
N/A
$311
Settled
No
kalshi

52° to 53°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$44
N/A
N/A
$39
Settled
No
kalshi

51° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$14
N/A
N/A
$14
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in San Francisco on a specific date, using official government data. The outcome depends on where the exact minimum temperature falls within predefined ranges, reflecting how precise weather measurements can influence real-world assessments.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the official minimum temperature recorded at San Francisco Airport on July 29, 2026, as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Six distinct temperature ranges are defined, each corresponding to a separate market outcome. If the recorded minimum temperature falls within a specific range, that market resolves to Yes, with all others resolving to No. The National Weather Service's report is the sole authoritative source, and traders must use the latest available data from the specified URL. Due to potential rounding and conversion nuances in preliminary reports, caution is advised when interpreting early or unofficial data. The event emphasizes reliance on standardized, government-issued meteorological data for resolution.