TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Lowest temperature in San Francisco on Jul 27, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in San Francisco on Jul 27, 2026?

Volume:
$15,011

58° to 59°

 - Kalshi

58° to 59° - Kalshi

1W

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Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 28, 2026

Closed: Jul 28, 4:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

58° to 59°

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,842
N/A
N/A
$1,846
Settled
Yes
kalshi

60° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,322
N/A
N/A
$7,393
Settled
No
kalshi

56° to 57°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,150
N/A
N/A
$1,266
Settled
No
kalshi

54° to 55°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,244
N/A
N/A
$1,162
Settled
No
kalshi

52° to 53°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$410
N/A
N/A
$405
Settled
No
kalshi

51° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$44
N/A
N/A
$44
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in San Francisco on a specific date, using official government data as the sole source for verification. Participants assess whether conditions will fall within particular temperature ranges based on authoritative meteorological reports.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the official minimum temperature recorded at San Francisco Airport on July 27, 2026, as reported in the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). The outcome depends on which temperature range the official reading falls into: below 52°F, between 52-53°F, 54-55°F, 56-57°F, 58-59°F, or above 59°F. Traders must rely exclusively on the NWS data linked in the rules, as preliminary or third-party weather sources are not considered official for resolution purposes. It is important to note that NWS reports may undergo revisions, and participants should use the latest available version of the data after the date in question. Rounding and conversion methodologies inherent in NWS reporting may impact market outcomes, so caution is advised when interpreting early or unofficial data.