TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 27, 4:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in San Francisco on a specific date, using official government data. The outcome depends on where the exact minimum temperature falls within predefined ranges, reflecting how precise weather measurements can influence real-world assessments.
The event resolves based on the official minimum temperature recorded at San Francisco Airport on July 26, 2026, as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Six distinct temperature ranges are defined, each corresponding to a separate market outcome. If the recorded minimum temperature falls within a specific range, that market resolves to Yes, with all others resolving to No. The National Weather Service's report is the sole authoritative source, and traders must use the latest version available for the date. Due to potential rounding and conversion nuances in preliminary reports, caution is advised when interpreting early data. External weather services may offer guidance but hold no resolving power. The outcome is exclusively determined by the official NWS data for San Francisco Airport.