TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,590,312

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,439,516,703

404,175

Markets across

30,277

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,685

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Lowest temperature in San Francisco on Jul 26, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in San Francisco on Jul 26, 2026?

Volume:
$20,290

59° to 60°

 - Kalshi

59° to 60° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 27, 2026

Closed: Jul 27, 4:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

59° to 60°

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$7,773
N/A
N/A
$4,342
Settled
Yes
kalshi

57° to 58°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,569
N/A
N/A
$2,636
Settled
No
kalshi

61° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,006
N/A
N/A
$3,337
Settled
No
kalshi

55° to 56°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$732
N/A
N/A
$548
Settled
No
kalshi

52° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$664
N/A
N/A
$664
Settled
No
kalshi

53° to 54°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$546
N/A
N/A
$541
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in San Francisco on a specific date, using official government data. The outcome depends on where the exact minimum temperature falls within predefined ranges, reflecting how precise weather measurements can influence real-world assessments.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the official minimum temperature recorded at San Francisco Airport on July 26, 2026, as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Six distinct temperature ranges are defined, each corresponding to a separate market outcome. If the recorded minimum temperature falls within a specific range, that market resolves to Yes, with all others resolving to No. The National Weather Service's report is the sole authoritative source, and traders must use the latest version available for the date. Due to potential rounding and conversion nuances in preliminary reports, caution is advised when interpreting early data. External weather services may offer guidance but hold no resolving power. The outcome is exclusively determined by the official NWS data for San Francisco Airport.