TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 26, 4:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in San Francisco on a specific date, using official government data as the sole source for verification. Participants assess the likelihood of different temperature ranges based on historical trends and forecasts.
All markets resolve based solely on the official minimum temperature recorded at San Francisco Airport on July 25, 2026, as reported in the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). The outcome is determined by which temperature range—defined in five-degree increments from 51°F to above 59°F—the official reading falls into. Participants must rely exclusively on the linked NWS data source for resolution, as preliminary or third-party weather reports may differ due to rounding, conversion, or reporting frequency variations. The final market resolution will occur after the official NWS report for the specified date becomes available, with all outcomes contingent on that singular data point.