TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Lowest temperature in San Francisco on Jul 25, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in San Francisco on Jul 25, 2026?

Volume:
$15,431

60° or above

 - Kalshi

60° or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 26, 2026

Closed: Jul 26, 4:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

60° or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,940
N/A
N/A
$4,433
Settled
Yes
kalshi

58° to 59°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,628
N/A
N/A
$1,974
Settled
No
kalshi

52° to 53°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,300
N/A
N/A
$2,298
Settled
No
kalshi

56° to 57°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,914
N/A
N/A
$1,364
Settled
No
kalshi

54° to 55°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$513
N/A
N/A
$300
Settled
No
kalshi

51° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$135
N/A
N/A
$135
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in San Francisco on a specific date, using official government data as the sole source for verification. Participants assess the likelihood of different temperature ranges based on historical trends and forecasts.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the official minimum temperature recorded at San Francisco Airport on July 25, 2026, as reported in the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). The outcome is determined by which temperature range—defined in five-degree increments from 51°F to above 59°F—the official reading falls into. Participants must rely exclusively on the linked NWS data source for resolution, as preliminary or third-party weather reports may differ due to rounding, conversion, or reporting frequency variations. The final market resolution will occur after the official NWS report for the specified date becomes available, with all outcomes contingent on that singular data point.