TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Lowest temperature in San Francisco on Jul 24, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in San Francisco on Jul 24, 2026?

Volume:
$12,945

60° or above

 - Kalshi

60° or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 25, 2026

Closed: Jul 25, 4:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

60° or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$8,229
N/A
N/A
$4,545
Settled
Yes
kalshi

56° to 57°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,736
N/A
N/A
$1,244
Settled
No
kalshi

58° to 59°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,767
N/A
N/A
$1,004
Settled
No
kalshi

52° to 53°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$99
N/A
N/A
$78
Settled
No
kalshi

54° to 55°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$93
N/A
N/A
$72
Settled
No
kalshi

51° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$22
N/A
N/A
$22
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in San Francisco on a specific future date, using official government data sources. The outcome depends entirely on the exact numerical reading from the National Weather Service's official daily climate report for that location and date.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the official minimum temperature reading for San Francisco on July 24, 2026, as reported in the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily) for San Francisco Airport. The market with the matching temperature range wins; for example, if the recorded low is 53°F, the '52° to 53°' market resolves to Yes while all others resolve to No. Traders must use the latest published data from the specified NWS URL, as preliminary reports may undergo revisions. While third-party weather services may provide similar data, they are not authoritative for resolution purposes. All outcomes hinge on precise numerical matching within defined ranges, with careful attention required for any rounding or conversion nuances in the official report.