TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 24, 4:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in San Francisco on a specific date, using official government data. The outcome depends on where the exact minimum temperature falls within predefined ranges, reflecting weather conditions for that day.
The event resolves based on the official minimum temperature recorded at San Francisco Airport on July 23, 2026, as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Six distinct temperature ranges are defined, each corresponding to a separate market outcome. If the recorded minimum temperature falls within a specific range, that market resolves to Yes, with all others resolving to No. Traders must reference the official NWS data linked in the rules, as preliminary or third-party weather data may differ due to rounding, conversion, or reporting nuances. The most current version of the NWS report for the specified date should be used, acknowledging that update frequencies may vary across locations. The resolution hinges exclusively on the NWS-reported minimum temperature value for that day, ensuring consistency and objectivity in determining the market outcome.