TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Lowest temperature in San Francisco on Jul 23, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in San Francisco on Jul 23, 2026?

Volume:
$7,374

58° to 59°

 - Kalshi

58° to 59° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 24, 2026

Closed: Jul 24, 4:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

58° to 59°

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,969
N/A
N/A
$2,178
Settled
Yes
kalshi

60° to 61°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,719
N/A
N/A
$1,318
Settled
No
kalshi

56° to 57°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,301
N/A
N/A
$814
Settled
No
kalshi

62° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,007
N/A
N/A
$685
Settled
No
kalshi

54° to 55°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$365
N/A
N/A
$336
Settled
No
kalshi

53° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$13
N/A
N/A
$13
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in San Francisco on a specific date, using official government data. The outcome depends on where the exact minimum temperature falls within predefined ranges, reflecting weather conditions for that day.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the official minimum temperature recorded at San Francisco Airport on July 23, 2026, as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Six distinct temperature ranges are defined, each corresponding to a separate market outcome. If the recorded minimum temperature falls within a specific range, that market resolves to Yes, with all others resolving to No. Traders must reference the official NWS data linked in the rules, as preliminary or third-party weather data may differ due to rounding, conversion, or reporting nuances. The most current version of the NWS report for the specified date should be used, acknowledging that update frequencies may vary across locations. The resolution hinges exclusively on the NWS-reported minimum temperature value for that day, ensuring consistency and objectivity in determining the market outcome.