TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Lowest temperature in San Francisco on Jul 16, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in San Francisco on Jul 16, 2026?

Volume:
$4,543

56° to 57°

 - Kalshi

56° to 57° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 17, 2026

Closed: Jul 17, 4:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

56° to 57°

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,242
N/A
N/A
$924
Settled
Yes
kalshi

54° to 55°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,712
N/A
N/A
$601
Settled
No
kalshi

52° to 53°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$555
N/A
N/A
$554
Settled
No
kalshi

58° to 59°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$554
N/A
N/A
$436
Settled
No
kalshi

51° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$281
N/A
N/A
$271
Settled
No
kalshi

60° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$199
N/A
N/A
$199
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This market tracks the lowest temperature recorded in San Francisco on July 16, 2026. The outcome will be determined by the official National Weather Service Climatological Report for that date, with resolution based on which temperature range the recorded minimum falls into.

Kalshi

Resolution is determined by the minimum temperature recorded at San Francisco Airport on July 16, 2026, according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). The official data source is accessed via the NWS Metropolitan Transportation Office website under the Observed Weather tab for San Francisco Airport. Temperature ranges are divided into six bands: 51°F or below, 52-53°F, 54-55°F, 56-57°F, 58-59°F, and 60°F or above. Each range corresponds to a distinct market outcome. Traders should note that preliminary NWS data may be subject to rounding and conversion nuances, and the final official NWS Climatological Report (Daily) is the authoritative source, superseding other weather services.