TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Lowest temperature in San Francisco on Jul 15, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in San Francisco on Jul 15, 2026?

Volume:
$6,905

57° to 58°

 - Kalshi

57° to 58° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 16, 2026

Closed: Jul 16, 4:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

57° to 58°

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,016
N/A
N/A
$1,178
Settled
Yes
kalshi

61° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,341
N/A
N/A
$2,318
Settled
No
kalshi

59° to 60°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,756
N/A
N/A
$1,217
Settled
No
kalshi

55° to 56°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$563
N/A
N/A
$528
Settled
No
kalshi

52° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$119
N/A
N/A
$104
Settled
No
kalshi

53° to 54°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$109
N/A
N/A
$100
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This market tracks the lowest temperature recorded in San Francisco on July 15, 2026. The outcome will be determined by the official National Weather Service Climatological Report for that date, with resolution based on which temperature range the recorded minimum falls into.

Kalshi

Resolution is determined by the minimum temperature recorded at San Francisco Airport on July 15, 2026, as reported in the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). The official data source is accessed via the NWS Metropolitan Transportation Office website under the Observed Weather tab for San Francisco Airport. Temperature ranges are: 52°F or below, 53-54°F, 55-56°F, 57-58°F, 59-60°F, and 61°F or above. Traders should note that preliminary NWS data may be subject to rounding and conversion nuances, and the final official NWS Climatological Report (Daily) serves as the authoritative source, superseding other weather services.