TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Lowest temperature in San Francisco on Jul 14, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in San Francisco on Jul 14, 2026?

Volume:
$5,781

60° to 61°

 - Kalshi

60° to 61° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 15, 2026

Closed: Jul 15, 4:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

60° to 61°

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,818
N/A
N/A
$1,904
Settled
Yes
kalshi

58° to 59°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,973
N/A
N/A
$1,514
Settled
No
kalshi

56° to 57°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$344
N/A
N/A
$229
Settled
No
kalshi

62° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$334
N/A
N/A
$323
Settled
No
kalshi

54° to 55°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$203
N/A
N/A
$151
Settled
No
kalshi

53° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$109
N/A
N/A
$91
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This market tracks the lowest temperature recorded in San Francisco on July 14, 2026. The outcome will be determined by the official National Weather Service daily climatological report for San Francisco Airport, which measures the minimum temperature reached during that calendar day.

Kalshi

Resolution is based on the minimum temperature recorded at San Francisco Airport on July 14, 2026, as reported in the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). The official data source is accessed via the NWS Western Region Climate portal under the San Francisco Airport location with Daily Climate Report selected. The reported minimum temperature determines which temperature band outcome resolves affirmatively: 53°F or below, 54-55°F, 56-57°F, 58-59°F, 60-61°F, or 62°F and above. Traders should note that preliminary NWS data may be subject to rounding and conversion nuances, and the final official report should be used for resolution rather than real-time or third-party weather services.