TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$143,246,370

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,403,290,006

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,452,035,386

405,032

Markets across

30,543

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,690

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Tour
All
Lowest temperature in San Francisco on Jul 12, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in San Francisco on Jul 12, 2026?

Volume:
$8,296

58° to 59°

 - Kalshi

58° to 59° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 13, 2026

Closed: Jul 13, 4:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

58° to 59°

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,352
N/A
N/A
$1,983
Settled
Yes
kalshi

60° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,570
N/A
N/A
$2,521
Settled
No
kalshi

56° to 57°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,597
N/A
N/A
$589
Settled
No
kalshi

54° to 55°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$585
N/A
N/A
$492
Settled
No
kalshi

51° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$146
N/A
N/A
$141
Settled
No
kalshi

52° to 53°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$46
N/A
N/A
$34
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This market tracks the overnight low temperature in San Francisco on July 12, 2026. The outcome will be determined by the official National Weather Service daily climatological report for San Francisco Airport, which records the minimum temperature reached during that calendar day.

Kalshi

Resolution is based on the minimum temperature recorded at San Francisco Airport on July 12, 2026, as reported in the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), accessible via the NWS Metropolitan Transportation Office website. The reported temperature will be compared against six temperature bands: 51°F or below, 52–53°F, 54–55°F, 56–57°F, 58–59°F, and 60°F or above. Each band corresponds to a distinct market outcome. Traders should note that preliminary NWS data may be subject to rounding and conversion nuances, and the final official NWS Climatological Report (Daily) serves as the authoritative source, superseding other weather services.