TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Lowest temperature in San Francisco on Aug 6, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in San Francisco on Aug 6, 2026?

Volume:
$15,395

57° to 58°

 - Kalshi

57° to 58° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 7, 2026

Closed: Aug 7, 4:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

57° to 58°

View
100%
48%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,441
N/A
N/A
$4,443
Settled
Yes
kalshi

59° to 60°

0%
52%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,480
N/A
N/A
$2,937
Settled
No
kalshi

55° to 56°

0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,322
N/A
N/A
$1,116
Settled
No
kalshi

53° to 54°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$551
N/A
N/A
$484
Settled
No
kalshi

52° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$337
N/A
N/A
$331
Settled
No
kalshi

61° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$265
N/A
N/A
$256
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in San Francisco on a specific date, using official government data. The outcome depends on where the exact minimum temperature falls within predefined ranges, reflecting how precise weather measurements can determine results.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the official minimum temperature for San Francisco on August 6, 2026, as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily) for San Francisco Airport. The market with the matching temperature range wins. Traders must access the official data via the provided NWS URL after the date to verify the final figure. While third-party weather services may offer estimates, only the NWS report is binding. Users should be aware that preliminary NWS data might contain rounding or conversion nuances, so final confirmation should wait for the official report. Each market defines a specific temperature band, from 52°F or below up to 61°F or higher, with exclusive ranges in between; the actual recorded minimum temperature determines which market resolves as 'Yes'.