TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 6, 4:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in San Francisco on a specific future date, using official government data sources. Participants assess climate conditions and historical trends to predict the night's coldest point, with outcomes determined by verified meteorological reports.
All markets resolve based solely on the official minimum temperature recorded at San Francisco Airport on August 5, 2026, as reported in the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). The National Weather Service's data is the definitive source, and traders must use the latest version available after the reporting period concludes. While preliminary or third-party weather services may provide estimates, only the NWS report determines resolution. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: below 52°F, 52-53°F, 54-55°F, 56-57°F, 58-59°F, or above 59°F. Traders should be aware that NWS data may include rounding or conversion nuances, and reports across locations may update at different frequencies, requiring careful verification of the final official figures.