TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Lowest temperature in San Francisco on Aug 5, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in San Francisco on Aug 5, 2026?

Volume:
$7,575

58° to 59°

 - Kalshi

58° to 59° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 6, 2026

Closed: Aug 6, 4:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

58° to 59°

View
100%
7%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,182
N/A
N/A
$1,644
Settled
Yes
kalshi

56° to 57°

0%
15%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,713
N/A
N/A
$1,659
Settled
No
kalshi

60° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,350
N/A
N/A
$1,182
Settled
No
kalshi

54° to 55°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$248
N/A
N/A
$209
Settled
No
kalshi

51° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$45
N/A
N/A
$45
Settled
No
kalshi

52° to 53°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$36
N/A
N/A
$36
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in San Francisco on a specific future date, using official government data sources. Participants assess climate conditions and historical trends to predict the night's coldest point, with outcomes determined by verified meteorological reports.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the official minimum temperature recorded at San Francisco Airport on August 5, 2026, as reported in the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). The National Weather Service's data is the definitive source, and traders must use the latest version available after the reporting period concludes. While preliminary or third-party weather services may provide estimates, only the NWS report determines resolution. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: below 52°F, 52-53°F, 54-55°F, 56-57°F, 58-59°F, or above 59°F. Traders should be aware that NWS data may include rounding or conversion nuances, and reports across locations may update at different frequencies, requiring careful verification of the final official figures.