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Science and Technology
Lowest temperature in San Francisco on Aug 31, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in San Francisco on Aug 31, 2026?

Volume:
$4,766

58° or above

 - Kalshi

58° or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 1, 2026

Closed: Sep 1, 4:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

58° or above

View
100%
17%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,322
N/A
N/A
$1,883
Settled
Yes
kalshi

56° to 57°

View
0%
21%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,077
N/A
N/A
$550
Settled
No
kalshi

54° to 55°

View
0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,039
N/A
N/A
$647
Settled
No
kalshi

49° or below

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$192
N/A
N/A
$164
Settled
No
kalshi

50° to 51°

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$68
N/A
N/A
$59
Settled
No
kalshi

52° to 53°

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$68
N/A
N/A
$58
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in San Francisco on a specific date in the future, helping participants gauge extreme weather conditions for that day. The outcome depends solely on official weather data from a designated source, ensuring consistency in evaluation.

Kalshi

The event determines the outcome based on the minimum temperature recorded in San Francisco on August 31, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Six distinct temperature ranges are defined, each corresponding to a different market resolution. If the minimum temperature falls below 50°F, the first market resolves to Yes. If it falls between 50°F and 51°F, the second market resolves to Yes, and this pattern continues for temperature ranges up to 57°F. Any temperature above 57°F results in the final market resolving to Yes. All markets rely exclusively on The Weather Company's official reported values, with participants advised to exercise caution when interpreting preliminary data due to potential rounding or conversion discrepancies. Secondary rules emphasize that while other weather sources may offer guidance, only The Weather Company's data is authoritative for final resolution.