TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 4, 4:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in San Francisco on a specific date, using official government data. The outcome depends entirely on the exact temperature reading reported by the National Weather Service for that day.
All markets resolve based solely on the official minimum temperature recorded at San Francisco Airport on August 3, 2026, as reported in the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 51°F or below, 52-53°F, 54-55°F, 56-57°F, 58-59°F, or 60°F and above. The National Weather Service's report is the definitive source, and traders must use the latest version available after the date in question. While third-party weather services may provide similar data, they are not authoritative for resolution purposes. Traders should be aware that preliminary reports may contain rounding or conversion nuances, so final confirmation should wait for the official report. The resolution hinges entirely on which temperature range the official reading falls into, with each range corresponding to a specific market outcome.