TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Lowest temperature in San Francisco on Aug 3, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in San Francisco on Aug 3, 2026?

Volume:
$5,047

56° to 57°

 - Kalshi

56° to 57° - Kalshi

1W

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Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 4, 2026

Closed: Aug 4, 4:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

56° to 57°

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,919
N/A
N/A
$1,154
Settled
Yes
kalshi

58° to 59°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,327
N/A
N/A
$1,307
Settled
No
kalshi

54° to 55°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,154
N/A
N/A
$589
Settled
No
kalshi

60° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$514
N/A
N/A
$514
Settled
No
kalshi

52° to 53°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$102
N/A
N/A
$72
Settled
No
kalshi

51° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$32
N/A
N/A
$32
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in San Francisco on a specific date, using official government data. The outcome depends entirely on the exact temperature reading reported by the National Weather Service for that day.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the official minimum temperature recorded at San Francisco Airport on August 3, 2026, as reported in the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 51°F or below, 52-53°F, 54-55°F, 56-57°F, 58-59°F, or 60°F and above. The National Weather Service's report is the definitive source, and traders must use the latest version available after the date in question. While third-party weather services may provide similar data, they are not authoritative for resolution purposes. Traders should be aware that preliminary reports may contain rounding or conversion nuances, so final confirmation should wait for the official report. The resolution hinges entirely on which temperature range the official reading falls into, with each range corresponding to a specific market outcome.