TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Lowest temperature in San Francisco on Aug 25, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in San Francisco on Aug 25, 2026?

Volume:
$4,998

58° to 59°

 - Kalshi

58° to 59° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 26, 2026

Closed: Aug 26, 4:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

58° to 59°

View
100%
5%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,505
N/A
N/A
$1,148
Settled
Yes
kalshi

60° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,321
N/A
N/A
$2,315
Settled
No
kalshi

56° to 57°

0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,053
N/A
N/A
$713
Settled
No
kalshi

54° to 55°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$55
N/A
N/A
$55
Settled
No
kalshi

52° to 53°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$35
N/A
N/A
$35
Settled
No
kalshi

51° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$30
N/A
N/A
$30
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in San Francisco on a specific date in the future. It uses an official weather data provider to determine the outcome, ensuring consistency despite variations in how different services might report the same conditions. Participants can speculate on whether the temperature will fall within certain ranges.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the minimum temperature recorded at San Francisco (CLISFO) on August 25, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Six distinct temperature ranges are defined, each corresponding to a different market outcome. If the minimum temperature is less than 52°F, the first market resolves to Yes. If it falls between 52°F and 53°F, the second market resolves to Yes, and this pattern continues for temperature ranges of 54–55°F, 56–57°F, 58–59°F, and finally greater than 59°F for the last market. All outcomes rely exclusively on The Weather Company's official reporting, with participants advised that preliminary data may vary due to rounding or conversion differences. No other weather sources are considered authoritative for resolution purposes.