TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 26, 4:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in San Francisco on a specific date in the future. It uses an official weather data provider to determine the outcome, ensuring consistency despite variations in how different services might report the same conditions. Participants can speculate on whether the temperature will fall within certain ranges.
The event resolves based on the minimum temperature recorded at San Francisco (CLISFO) on August 25, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Six distinct temperature ranges are defined, each corresponding to a different market outcome. If the minimum temperature is less than 52°F, the first market resolves to Yes. If it falls between 52°F and 53°F, the second market resolves to Yes, and this pattern continues for temperature ranges of 54–55°F, 56–57°F, 58–59°F, and finally greater than 59°F for the last market. All outcomes rely exclusively on The Weather Company's official reporting, with participants advised that preliminary data may vary due to rounding or conversion differences. No other weather sources are considered authoritative for resolution purposes.