TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 3, 4:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in San Francisco on a specific date, using official government data as the sole source for verification. Participants assess the likelihood of different temperature ranges based on historical trends and forecasts.
All markets resolve based solely on the official minimum temperature recorded at San Francisco Airport on August 2, 2026, as reported in the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 51° or below, 52-53°, 54-55°, 56-57°, 58-59°, or 60° and above. The National Weather Service's report is the definitive source, and traders must use the latest version available after the date in question. While third-party weather services may offer preliminary or estimated data, they are not considered official for resolution purposes. Traders should be aware that NWS data may include rounding or conversion nuances, and preliminary reports can change upon final publication. The outcome of each market is determined exclusively by where the actual recorded minimum temperature falls within these predefined ranges.