TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Lowest temperature in San Francisco on Aug 2, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in San Francisco on Aug 2, 2026?

Volume:
$7,376

56° to 57°

 - Kalshi

56° to 57° - Kalshi

1W

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Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 3, 2026

Closed: Aug 3, 4:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

56° to 57°

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,948
N/A
N/A
$2,300
Settled
Yes
kalshi

58° to 59°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,469
N/A
N/A
$1,326
Settled
No
kalshi

54° to 55°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,390
N/A
N/A
$1,173
Settled
No
kalshi

60° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$250
N/A
N/A
$240
Settled
No
kalshi

52° to 53°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$166
N/A
N/A
$154
Settled
No
kalshi

51° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$153
N/A
N/A
$152
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in San Francisco on a specific date, using official government data as the sole source for verification. Participants assess the likelihood of different temperature ranges based on historical trends and forecasts.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the official minimum temperature recorded at San Francisco Airport on August 2, 2026, as reported in the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 51° or below, 52-53°, 54-55°, 56-57°, 58-59°, or 60° and above. The National Weather Service's report is the definitive source, and traders must use the latest version available after the date in question. While third-party weather services may offer preliminary or estimated data, they are not considered official for resolution purposes. Traders should be aware that NWS data may include rounding or conversion nuances, and preliminary reports can change upon final publication. The outcome of each market is determined exclusively by where the actual recorded minimum temperature falls within these predefined ranges.