TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Lowest temperature in San Francisco on Aug 17, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in San Francisco on Aug 17, 2026?

Volume:
$27,913

56° to 57°

 - Kalshi

56° to 57° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 18, 2026

Closed: Aug 18, 4:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

56° to 57°

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,098
N/A
N/A
$2,391
Settled
Yes
kalshi

58° to 59°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$22,242
N/A
N/A
$17,671
Settled
No
kalshi

60° or above

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,986
N/A
N/A
$1,975
Settled
No
kalshi

54° to 55°

0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$440
N/A
N/A
$304
Settled
No
kalshi

52° to 53°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$143
N/A
N/A
$102
Settled
No
kalshi

51° or below

0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
$5
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature reached in San Francisco on a specific date in the future. The outcome depends on how cold it gets during that night, with different temperature ranges determining the result. It reflects how weather patterns can influence predictions and planning for that day.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the minimum temperature recorded at San Francisco (CLISFO) on August 17, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Six distinct temperature ranges are defined, each corresponding to a different market outcome. If the minimum temperature falls within a specific range, that market resolves to Yes. All markets are mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustive, ensuring one and only one will resolve to Yes depending on where the actual temperature falls. While other weather sources may be used for reference, The Weather Company’s report is the definitive source for resolution. This structure allows participants to bet on various possible temperature outcomes for the specified date.