TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Lowest temperature in San Francisco on Aug 15, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in San Francisco on Aug 15, 2026?

Volume:
$4,646

58° to 59°

 - Kalshi

58° to 59° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 17, 2026

Closed: Aug 16, 4:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

58° to 59°

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,107
N/A
N/A
$1,207
Settled
Yes
kalshi

56° to 57°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,218
N/A
N/A
$826
Settled
No
kalshi

52° to 53°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$491
N/A
N/A
$491
Settled
No
kalshi

60° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$480
N/A
N/A
$463
Settled
No
kalshi

54° to 55°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$201
N/A
N/A
$165
Settled
No
kalshi

51° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$149
N/A
N/A
$139
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in San Francisco on a specific date in the future. The outcome depends entirely on official weather data from a designated source. Participants assess climatic conditions and historical patterns to predict the night's cold extreme.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the minimum temperature recorded at San Francisco (CLISFO) on August 15, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Six distinct temperature ranges are defined, each corresponding to a separate market outcome. If the recorded low falls within a specific range, that market resolves as 'Yes,' with all others resolving as 'No.' The Weather Company serves as the exclusive, binding authority for temperature verification, overriding any conflicting data from other weather services. This structure ensures objective resolution through a single, centralized data source.