TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 16, 4:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in San Francisco on a specific date in the future. The outcome depends entirely on official weather data from a designated source. Participants assess climatic conditions and historical patterns to predict the night's cold extreme.
The event resolves based on the minimum temperature recorded at San Francisco (CLISFO) on August 15, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Six distinct temperature ranges are defined, each corresponding to a separate market outcome. If the recorded low falls within a specific range, that market resolves as 'Yes,' with all others resolving as 'No.' The Weather Company serves as the exclusive, binding authority for temperature verification, overriding any conflicting data from other weather services. This structure ensures objective resolution through a single, centralized data source.