TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Lowest temperature in San Francisco on Aug 14, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in San Francisco on Aug 14, 2026?

Volume:
$2,624

59° to 60°

 - Kalshi

59° to 60° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 15, 2026

Closed: Aug 15, 4:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

59° to 60°

View
100%
3%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,307
N/A
N/A
$1,166
Settled
Yes
kalshi

57° to 58°

0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$675
N/A
N/A
$324
Settled
No
kalshi

53° to 54°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$356
N/A
N/A
$356
Settled
No
kalshi

61° or above

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$282
N/A
N/A
$273
Settled
No
kalshi

55° to 56°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4
N/A
N/A
$4
Settled
No
kalshi

52° or below

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature reached in San Francisco on a specific future date, using data from a designated weather provider. It helps participants assess climate conditions and temperature trends for that exact day.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the minimum temperature recorded in San Francisco on August 14, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Six distinct temperature ranges are defined, each corresponding to a different market outcome. If the minimum temperature falls within a specific range, the associated market resolves to 'Yes,' while all others resolve to 'No.' Data must be accessed via the provided URL, navigating to the 'Observed Weather' tab, selecting 'San Francisco Airport,' and choosing the 'Daily Climate Report.' The latest available data for the date must be used, with the understanding that update frequencies may vary across locations. While other weather sources may offer guidance, The Weather Company's report is the official and final determinant for all outcomes.