TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Lowest temperature in San Francisco on Aug 12, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in San Francisco on Aug 12, 2026?

Volume:
$4,570

57° to 58°

 - Kalshi

57° to 58° - Kalshi

1W

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Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 13, 2026

Closed: Aug 13, 4:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

57° to 58°

View
100%
11%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,755
N/A
N/A
$2,483
Settled
Yes
kalshi

55° to 56°

0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$859
N/A
N/A
$509
Settled
No
kalshi

59° to 60°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$607
N/A
N/A
$483
Settled
No
kalshi

53° to 54°

0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$205
N/A
N/A
$158
Settled
No
kalshi

61° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$102
N/A
N/A
$95
Settled
No
kalshi

52° or below

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$42
N/A
N/A
$42
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in San Francisco on a specific date in the future, using official government data sources. The outcome depends entirely on the exact numerical reading from the National Weather Service's official report for that day.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the official minimum temperature recorded at San Francisco Airport as reported in the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily) for August 12, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 52°F or below, 53-54°F, 55-56°F, 57-58°F, 59-60°F, or above 60°F. The exact numerical value from the NWS report determines the resolving outcome, with no consideration given to preliminary readings or third-party weather services. Traders must rely exclusively on the final published NWS data, noting that reporting nuances and rounding conventions may affect interpretation. The official data URL provided should be used to verify the outcome once available.