TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 12, 4:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in San Francisco on a specific future date, using official government data. The outcome depends entirely on the exact temperature reading from the National Weather Service's official report for that day.
All markets resolve based solely on the official minimum temperature recorded at San Francisco Airport on August 11, 2026, as reported in the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 52°F or below, 53-54°F, 55-56°F, 57-58°F, 59-60°F, or above 60°F. The exact temperature value from the official report determines which market resolves to 'Yes,' with all others resolving to 'No.' Traders must reference the official NWS data source provided, as preliminary or third-party weather data may differ due to rounding or conversion nuances. The latest available version of the report should be used, acknowledging that update frequencies may vary. All markets are mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustive for the possible temperature outcomes on the specified date.