TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Lowest temperature in San Francisco on Aug 11, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in San Francisco on Aug 11, 2026?

Volume:
$5,214

57° to 58°

 - Kalshi

57° to 58° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 12, 2026

Closed: Aug 12, 4:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

57° to 58°

View
100%
8%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,923
N/A
N/A
$2,626
Settled
Yes
kalshi

59° to 60°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$974
N/A
N/A
$826
Settled
No
kalshi

55° to 56°

0%
10%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$691
N/A
N/A
$433
Settled
No
kalshi

53° to 54°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$381
N/A
N/A
$304
Settled
No
kalshi

61° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$162
N/A
N/A
$142
Settled
No
kalshi

52° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$84
N/A
N/A
$84
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in San Francisco on a specific future date, using official government data. The outcome depends entirely on the exact temperature reading from the National Weather Service's official report for that day.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the official minimum temperature recorded at San Francisco Airport on August 11, 2026, as reported in the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 52°F or below, 53-54°F, 55-56°F, 57-58°F, 59-60°F, or above 60°F. The exact temperature value from the official report determines which market resolves to 'Yes,' with all others resolving to 'No.' Traders must reference the official NWS data source provided, as preliminary or third-party weather data may differ due to rounding or conversion nuances. The latest available version of the report should be used, acknowledging that update frequencies may vary. All markets are mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustive for the possible temperature outcomes on the specified date.