Lowest temperature in San Antonio on May 29, 2026?

On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, the Lowest temperature in San Antonio on May 29 contract is priced as a binary or range-based outcome, with the market price reflecting the collective belief in specific temperature thresholds. Traders buy and sell shares at prices between 0 and 100 cents, where each cent represents a one-percentage-point shift in implied probability. As new weather data, seasonal patterns, and real-time conditions emerge, the price adjusts continuously, allowing traders to enter or exit positions and locking in gains or losses before the May 30, 2026 settlement window.

The Lowest temperature in San Antonio on May 29 market resolves on May 30, 2026, after the calendar day has passed and official temperature data becomes available. Resolution hinges on verified meteorological records for San Antonio on that specific date, ensuring an objective and auditable outcome. Once the lowest temperature reading is confirmed, the contract settles according to the pre-defined outcome criteria, and traders' positions are cash-settled based on whether their prediction matched the realized low.

Several factors can shift odds for San Antonio's May 29 low: updated seasonal forecasts, atmospheric patterns (jet stream position, high-pressure systems), historical climate anomalies, and real-time weather model runs released in the days leading up to May 29. Major weather events elsewhere in North America can alter regional circulation. Additionally, any unusual solar activity, ocean temperature shifts, or local urban heat-island effects may influence trader expectations. As May 29 approaches, short-range forecasts become more precise, typically tightening the market range and reducing uncertainty around the final low temperature.