Lowest temperature in San Antonio on May 27, 2026?

Prediction market odds on Kalshi reflect aggregated trader beliefs about San Antonio's minimum temperature on May 27, 2026, often incorporating meteorological models and historical patterns faster than traditional analyst forecasts. While weather analysts rely on deterministic models and seasonal climatology, prediction markets price in real-time uncertainty and trader conviction. Comparing the top outcome's implied probability to National Weather Service extended forecasts or climate models can reveal whether markets are pricing in more optimistic or pessimistic temperature scenarios than official predictions suggest.

The market resolves on May 28, 2026. Resolution is determined by the official recorded minimum temperature in San Antonio on May 27, 2026, which establishes which temperature-range contract is correct. The outcome is typically verified against National Weather Service or equivalent meteorological authority data for the San Antonio area. Once the actual low temperature is confirmed, the corresponding outcome resolves to yes and all other outcomes resolve to no, settling all trader positions.

Major weather pattern shifts, including changes to jet stream positioning, high-pressure systems, or approaching cold fronts, can significantly move odds. Updated extended forecasts from the National Weather Service, particularly those issued 10–14 days before May 27, often trigger repricing as model consensus sharpens. Seasonal climate anomalies, such as La Niña or El Niño effects, influence spring temperatures in Texas. Real-time atmospheric data, soil moisture conditions, and any unusual heat or cold events in late May will drive trader adjustments as the event date approaches.