Lowest temperature in San Antonio on Jun 5, 2026?

On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, the lowest temperature in San Antonio on June 5, 2026 is priced through binary or range-based outcome contracts. Traders buy and sell shares corresponding to specific temperature thresholds, with prices reflecting the probability of each outcome occurring. The market price directly translates to an implied probability; higher prices indicate greater confidence in that temperature range. Liquidity and trading volume on Kalshi determine how easily traders can enter or exit positions, influencing the tightness of spreads around the true market expectation.

The market resolves on Jun 6, 2026. Resolution is determined by the official lowest temperature recorded in San Antonio on June 5, 2026. The outcome depends on actual meteorological data from recognized weather stations or official sources serving the San Antonio area. Once the date passes and temperature readings are finalized, the market settles based on which outcome bracket or threshold the recorded low temperature falls into, paying out traders who held the correct position.

Several factors could shift market odds for San Antonio's lowest temperature on June 5, 2026. Long-range weather forecasts updated by meteorological agencies may signal approaching cold fronts or heat patterns. Seasonal climate anomalies, such as La Niña or El Niño conditions, influence Texas temperatures months in advance. Historical temperature records and typical June lows for San Antonio serve as anchors. As the date approaches, medium-range forecasts become more precise, causing sharper repricing. Traders also react to broader climate news and atmospheric pressure systems developing weeks beforehand.