TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 11, 2:00 AM EST
Kalshi
The minimum temperature in San Antonio on June 10, 2026 will be recorded by the National Weather Service according to their daily climatological report.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi reflect real-money trader consensus on San Antonio's lowest temperature for June 10, 2026. These odds often diverge from traditional weather analyst forecasts because markets incorporate forward-looking sentiment and uncertainty pricing. While meteorologists issue deterministic point forecasts or ranges, prediction markets price in tail risks and evolving atmospheric conditions. Comparing Kalshi odds to National Weather Service or private meteorology firms can reveal where traders see asymmetric risk relative to expert opinion.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, the lowest temperature outcome for San Antonio on June 10 is priced as a binary or range-based contract reflecting trader expectations. Prices move based on new weather model runs, historical climate data, and real-time market demand. As the event date approaches, prices typically tighten around consensus forecasts. Kalshi's order book and bid-ask spreads show the marginal cost of taking either side, helping traders identify value and liquidity conditions for entry or exit.
The Lowest temperature in San Antonio on Jun 10, 2026? market resolves on Jun 11, 2026. Resolution is determined by official temperature data recorded for that date. The specific measurement source, time window, and rounding rules are defined in the market's terms. Once the event occurs and data is finalized, the outcome is locked in and payouts are distributed to holders of the winning contract. Traders should review the full resolution criteria before trading to ensure clarity on how the lowest temperature will be measured and reported.
Several factors can shift odds for San Antonio's lowest temperature on June 10, 2026. Major weather pattern changes—such as shifts in jet stream positioning, tropical systems, or high-pressure ridges—will drive model updates and trader repricing. Seasonal climate anomalies, El Niño or La Niña conditions, and historical temperature records for that date provide context. As June 10 approaches, short-range forecast models become more reliable, typically narrowing the range and sharpening market prices. Real-time atmospheric data and overnight low forecasts in the final days will be the most influential signals.