TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,590,312

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,439,516,703

404,175

Markets across

30,277

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,685

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Lowest temperature in Phoenix on Sep 6, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Phoenix on Sep 6, 2026?

Volume:
$8,425

86° or above

 - Kalshi

86° or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 7, 2026

Closed: Sep 7, 3:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

86° or above

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,249
N/A
N/A
$2,866
Settled
Yes
kalshi

84° to 85°

0%
10%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,734
N/A
N/A
$1,592
Settled
No
kalshi

82° to 83°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$884
N/A
N/A
$526
Settled
No
kalshi

80° to 81°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$279
N/A
N/A
$220
Settled
No
kalshi

78° to 79°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$149
N/A
N/A
$148
Settled
No
kalshi

77° or below

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$132
N/A
N/A
$132
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This set of markets focuses on predicting the lowest temperature that will occur in Phoenix on a specific date in the future. The outcome depends entirely on official weather data from a designated source, making it a straightforward test of climate forecasting accuracy for that particular day.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the minimum temperature recorded at Phoenix (CLIPHX) on September 6, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 77°F or below, 78-79°F, 80-81°F, 82-83°F, 84-85°F, or above 85°F. The official data from The Weather Company is the definitive source, and users should exercise caution with preliminary readings due to potential rounding or conversion discrepancies. If the Exchange identifies a material error in the initial data publication, it may delay resolution until a corrected version is released or until the expiration date. In cases where data remains unavailable by the expiration date, markets will resolve to the last fair price determined by Kalshi. The 'Final' status on weather.com/kalshi is informational only and does not guarantee data accuracy or exempt markets from potential adjustments.