TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Lowest temperature in Phoenix on Sep 5, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Phoenix on Sep 5, 2026?

Volume:
$2,380

84° or above

 - Kalshi

84° or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 6, 2026

Closed: Sep 6, 3:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

84° or above

View
100%
5%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,606
N/A
N/A
$1,398
Settled
Yes
kalshi

82° to 83°

0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$312
N/A
N/A
$236
Settled
No
kalshi

78° to 79°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$232
N/A
N/A
$232
Settled
No
kalshi

80° to 81°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$103
N/A
N/A
$103
Settled
No
kalshi

76° to 77°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$86
N/A
N/A
$86
Settled
No
kalshi

75° or below

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$41
N/A
N/A
$41
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This set of markets focuses on predicting the lowest temperature that will be recorded in Phoenix on a specific date in the future. The outcome depends entirely on official weather data from a designated source, making it a straightforward test of climatic conditions on that day.

Kalshi

These markets resolve based on the minimum temperature recorded in Phoenix (CLIPHX) on September 5, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 75°F or below, 76°F to 77°F, 78°F to 79°F, 80°F to 81°F, 82°F to 83°F, or 84°F or above. The market resolving to 'Yes' is the one whose range includes the actual recorded minimum temperature. All markets share identical secondary rules regarding data verification and error handling. Preliminary data may be subject to rounding or conversion differences, and The Weather Company’s final reported value is the official determinant. If the Exchange identifies a material error in the initial publication, it may delay expiration until a corrected value is released or until the expiration date, whichever comes first. If no data remains available by the expiration date, all markets resolve to the last fair price determined by Kalshi. The 'Final' status on weather.com/kalshi is informational only and does not guarantee data accuracy or exempt markets from these procedures.