TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 7, 3:00 AM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on predicting the lowest temperature that will occur in Phoenix on a specific date in the future. The outcome depends on official weather data from a designated source, reflecting how accurately one can forecast climate conditions months in advance.
All markets resolve based on the minimum temperature recorded at Phoenix (CLIPHX) on October 6, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 72°F or below, 73°F to 74°F, 75°F to 76°F, 77°F to 78°F, 79°F to 80°F, or above 80°F. If the recorded minimum falls within a market's designated range, that market resolves to Yes; all others resolve to No. The Exchange reserves the right to delay resolution if a material error is identified in the initial data publication, extending the evaluation until a corrected version is released or the expiration date passes. Should no data become available by the expiration date, all markets will resolve to the last fair price determined by Kalshi. It is important to note that while other weather sources may offer similar data, only The Weather Company's report is authoritative for resolution purposes. Preliminary data may contain rounding or conversion discrepancies, so users should exercise caution when interpreting early readings. The status of "Final" on weather.com/kalshi is provided for convenience but does not guarantee data accuracy or exempt markets from potential resolution adjustments due to errors.