TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$230,589,906

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,885,293,300

410,482

Markets across

40,213

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,340

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

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Lowest temperature in Phoenix on Oct 6, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Phoenix on Oct 6, 2026?

Volume:
$6,073

79° to 80°

 - Kalshi

79° to 80° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 7, 2026

Closed: Oct 7, 3:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

79° to 80°

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,256
N/A
N/A
$1,244
Settled
Yes
kalshi

73° to 74°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,104
N/A
N/A
$1,003
Settled
No
kalshi

81° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,033
N/A
N/A
$650
Settled
No
kalshi

72° or below

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$946
N/A
N/A
$936
Settled
No
kalshi

75° to 76°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$934
N/A
N/A
$874
Settled
No
kalshi

77° to 78°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$798
N/A
N/A
$756
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

These markets focus on predicting the lowest temperature that will occur in Phoenix on a specific date in the future. The outcome depends on official weather data from a designated source, reflecting how accurately one can forecast climate conditions months in advance.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the minimum temperature recorded at Phoenix (CLIPHX) on October 6, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 72°F or below, 73°F to 74°F, 75°F to 76°F, 77°F to 78°F, 79°F to 80°F, or above 80°F. If the recorded minimum falls within a market's designated range, that market resolves to Yes; all others resolve to No. The Exchange reserves the right to delay resolution if a material error is identified in the initial data publication, extending the evaluation until a corrected version is released or the expiration date passes. Should no data become available by the expiration date, all markets will resolve to the last fair price determined by Kalshi. It is important to note that while other weather sources may offer similar data, only The Weather Company's report is authoritative for resolution purposes. Preliminary data may contain rounding or conversion discrepancies, so users should exercise caution when interpreting early readings. The status of "Final" on weather.com/kalshi is provided for convenience but does not guarantee data accuracy or exempt markets from potential resolution adjustments due to errors.