TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$230,589,906

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,885,293,300

410,482

Markets across

40,213

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,340

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Lowest temperature in Phoenix on Oct 4, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Phoenix on Oct 4, 2026?

Volume:
$4,375

80° or above

 - Kalshi

80° or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 5, 2026

Closed: Oct 5, 3:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

80° or above

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,665
N/A
N/A
$1,242
Settled
Yes
kalshi

78° to 79°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$760
N/A
N/A
$525
Settled
No
kalshi

76° to 77°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$652
N/A
N/A
$564
Settled
No
kalshi

74° to 75°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$592
N/A
N/A
$590
Settled
No
kalshi

72° to 73°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$403
N/A
N/A
$403
Settled
No
kalshi

71° or below

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$303
N/A
N/A
$303
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Phoenix on a specific date in the future, using data from a designated weather provider. The outcome depends on where the temperature falls within predefined ranges, reflecting varied climate conditions for that day.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the minimum temperature recorded at Phoenix (CLIPHX) on October 4, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 71°F or below, 72°F to 73°F, 74°F to 75°F, 76°F to 77°F, 78°F to 79°F, or 80°F or above. The Exchange may delay resolution if a material error is identified in the initial data publication, extending the evaluation until a corrected version is released or the expiration date arrives. If data remains unavailable by the expiration date, markets resolve to the last fair price determined by Kalshi. Preliminary data may differ from final values due to rounding or conversion, and the "Final" status on weather.com/kalshi is informational only and does not guarantee error-free data.