TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$235,918,089

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,884,820,873

413,109

Markets across

40,428

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,364

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Lowest temperature in Phoenix on Oct 31, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Phoenix on Oct 31, 2026?

Volume:
$5,603

64° to 65°

 - Kalshi

64° to 65° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Nov 1, 2026

Closed: Nov 1, 2:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

64° to 65°

View
100%
7%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,146
N/A
N/A
$993
Settled
Yes
kalshi

66° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,468
N/A
N/A
$3,468
Settled
No
kalshi

62° to 63°

0%
15%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$653
N/A
N/A
$402
Settled
No
kalshi

60° to 61°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$228
N/A
N/A
$203
Settled
No
kalshi

57° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$63
N/A
N/A
$53
Settled
No
kalshi

58° to 59°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$45
N/A
N/A
$45
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Phoenix on a specific Halloween night, using an authoritative weather data source. Participants assess probabilities based on historical climate patterns and seasonal forecasts for that exact date.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the minimum temperature recorded at Phoenix (CLIPHX) on October 31, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 57°F or below, 58-59°F, 60-61°F, 62-63°F, 64-65°F, or 66°F and above. The Weather Company’s official reporting is definitive, even if other services show different values. Preliminary data may be subject to rounding or conversion discrepancies, so users should exercise caution. If the Exchange identifies a material error in the initial publication, it may delay expiration until a corrected version is released or until the expiration date passes, whichever occurs first. If no valid data exists by the expiration date, all markets resolve to the last fair price determined by Kalshi. The “Final” status on weather.com/kalshi is informational only and does not shield against potential corrections.