TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 30, 3:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the lowest temperature that will be recorded in Phoenix on a specific date in the future. The outcome depends entirely on official weather data from a designated source, making it a straightforward test of climatic conditions for that exact day.
These markets resolve based on the minimum temperature recorded in Phoenix (CLIPHX) on October 29, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 56°F or below, 57-58°F, 59-60°F, 61-62°F, 63-64°F, or 65°F and above. The market associated with the actual recorded minimum temperature range will resolve to 'Yes,' with all others resolving to 'No.' All markets share common secondary rules regarding data verification and error handling. Preliminary Weather Company data may undergo revisions due to rounding or conversion differences, and the Exchange reserves the right to delay expiration if a material error is identified in the initial publication. If data remains unavailable by the expiration date, markets will resolve to the last fair price determined by Kalshi. The 'Final' status on weather.com/kalshi is informational only and does not guarantee data accuracy or exempt markets from these procedures.