TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 3:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the lowest temperature that will be recorded in Phoenix on a specific future date. The outcome depends entirely on official weather data from a designated source, making it a straightforward test of actual climatic conditions on that day.
All markets resolve based on the minimum temperature recorded at Phoenix (CLIPHX) on October 24, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 53°F or below, 54-55°F, 56-57°F, 58-59°F, 60-61°F, or 62°F and above. The official data from The Weather Company is the sole determinant, even if other weather services report different values. Preliminary data may be subject to rounding or conversion differences, and participants should exercise caution when interpreting early readings. If the Exchange identifies a material error in the initial non-preliminary data publication, it may delay expiration until a corrected version is released or until the expiration date, whichever comes first. If no data remains available by the end of this period, all markets will resolve to the last fair price determined by Kalshi. The "Final" status on weather.com/kalshi is for convenience only and does not guarantee data accuracy or exempt the market from these resolution procedures.