TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.5b

24H VOL:

$271,200,656

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,922,627,141

420,368

Markets across

40,352

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,484

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Lowest temperature in Phoenix on Oct 24, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Phoenix on Oct 24, 2026?

Volume:
$4,220

62° or above

 - Kalshi

62° or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 25, 2026

Closed: Oct 25, 3:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

62° or above

View
100%
11%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,137
N/A
N/A
$1,914
Settled
Yes
kalshi

60° to 61°

0%
35%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$769
N/A
N/A
$328
Settled
No
kalshi

56° to 57°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$623
N/A
N/A
$293
Settled
No
kalshi

58° to 59°

0%
14%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$471
N/A
N/A
$273
Settled
No
kalshi

54° to 55°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$150
N/A
N/A
$139
Settled
No
kalshi

53° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$70
N/A
N/A
$70
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature that will be recorded in Phoenix on a specific future date. The outcome depends entirely on official weather data from a designated source, making it a straightforward test of actual climatic conditions on that day.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the minimum temperature recorded at Phoenix (CLIPHX) on October 24, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 53°F or below, 54-55°F, 56-57°F, 58-59°F, 60-61°F, or 62°F and above. The official data from The Weather Company is the sole determinant, even if other weather services report different values. Preliminary data may be subject to rounding or conversion differences, and participants should exercise caution when interpreting early readings. If the Exchange identifies a material error in the initial non-preliminary data publication, it may delay expiration until a corrected version is released or until the expiration date, whichever comes first. If no data remains available by the end of this period, all markets will resolve to the last fair price determined by Kalshi. The "Final" status on weather.com/kalshi is for convenience only and does not guarantee data accuracy or exempt the market from these resolution procedures.