TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$228,458,490

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,879,276,037

410,833

Markets across

40,345

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,363

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Lowest temperature in Phoenix on Oct 21, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Phoenix on Oct 21, 2026?

Volume:
$10,541

76° or above

 - Kalshi

76° or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 22, 2026

Closed: Oct 22, 3:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

76° or above

View
100%
51%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,722
N/A
N/A
$2,986
Settled
Yes
kalshi

74° to 75°

0%
27%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,899
N/A
N/A
$761
Settled
No
kalshi

72° to 73°

0%
10%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,768
N/A
N/A
$682
Settled
No
kalshi

70° to 71°

0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,308
N/A
N/A
$996
Settled
No
kalshi

67° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$498
N/A
N/A
$482
Settled
No
kalshi

68° to 69°

0%
8%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$345
N/A
N/A
$289
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Phoenix on a specific date in the future, offering various outcomes based on different temperature ranges. The resolution depends solely on official weather data from a designated source, ensuring consistency in how the result is determined.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the minimum temperature recorded in Phoenix on October 21, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 67°F or below, 68–69°F, 70–71°F, 72–73°F, 74–75°F, or above 75°F. The official data from The Weather Company is the sole determinant, even if other sources report different values. Preliminary data may be subject to rounding or conversion differences, and the Exchange reserves the right to delay resolution if a material error is identified in the initial publication. If no valid data is available by the expiration date, markets will resolve to the last fair price determined by the Exchange. The "Final" status on The Weather Company’s platform is informational and does not guarantee data accuracy or exempt the data from potential revisions.