TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$235,918,089

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,884,820,873

413,109

Markets across

40,428

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,364

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Lowest temperature in Phoenix on Oct 15, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Phoenix on Oct 15, 2026?

Volume:
$7,740

59° to 60°

 - Kalshi

59° to 60° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 16, 2026

Closed: Oct 16, 3:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

59° to 60°

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,893
N/A
N/A
$1,662
Settled
Yes
kalshi

61° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,921
N/A
N/A
$2,617
Settled
No
kalshi

53° to 54°

0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,574
N/A
N/A
$1,571
Settled
No
kalshi

57° to 58°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$815
N/A
N/A
$673
Settled
No
kalshi

55° to 56°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$518
N/A
N/A
$483
Settled
No
kalshi

52° or below

0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$18
N/A
N/A
$18
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the expected lowest temperature in Phoenix on a specific future date, helping participants assess climate conditions for planning or risk management purposes. The outcome depends solely on official weather data from a designated source.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the minimum temperature recorded at Phoenix (CLIPHX) on October 15, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 52°F or below, 53°F to 54°F, 55°F to 56°F, 57°F to 58°F, 59°F to 60°F, or above 60°F. The Exchange reserves the right to delay resolution if a material error is identified in the initial data publication, extending the evaluation until a corrected version is released or the expiration date arrives. If data remains unavailable by the expiration date, markets resolve to the last fair price determined by Kalshi. Preliminary readings may differ from final values due to rounding or conversion, so participants should exercise caution when interpreting early data. The status of 'Final' on weather.com/kalshi is informational only and does not guarantee data accuracy or exempt markets from potential revisions.