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Lowest temperature in Phoenix on Jul 31, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Phoenix on Jul 31, 2026?

Volume:
$18,195

92° or above

 - Kalshi

92° or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 1, 2026

Closed: Aug 1, 3:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

92° or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,764
N/A
N/A
$4,760
Settled
Yes
kalshi

88° to 89°

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,765
N/A
N/A
$1,249
Settled
No
kalshi

90° to 91°

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,118
N/A
N/A
$2,073
Settled
No
kalshi

86° to 87°

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,505
N/A
N/A
$917
Settled
No
kalshi

84° to 85°

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,777
N/A
N/A
$169
Settled
No
kalshi

83° or below

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$265
N/A
N/A
$250
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest nighttime temperature in Phoenix on a specific date in the future, using official government data. The outcome depends entirely on how cold it gets during that night, with different temperature ranges determining the result.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the official minimum temperature recording for Phoenix, Arizona on July 31, 2026, as reported in the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: below 84°F, 84-85°F, 86-87°F, 88-89°F, 90-91°F, or above 91°F. The exact temperature value from the NWS report determines which market resolves to 'Yes,' with all others resolving to 'No.' Traders must reference the official NWS data source provided, as preliminary or third-party weather reports are not considered authoritative for resolution purposes. It is important to note that NWS data may undergo revisions, and users should use the latest available report for the date in question. Rounding and conversion methodologies applied by NWS also impact the final recorded temperature, requiring caution when interpreting early or unofficial data.