TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Lowest temperature in Phoenix on Jul 30, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Phoenix on Jul 30, 2026?

Volume:
$4,832

92° or above

 - Kalshi

92° or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 31, 2026

Closed: Jul 31, 3:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

92° or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,964
N/A
N/A
$2,349
Settled
Yes
kalshi

90° to 91°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$924
N/A
N/A
$797
Settled
No
kalshi

88° to 89°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$692
N/A
N/A
$681
Settled
No
kalshi

86° to 87°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$150
N/A
N/A
$141
Settled
No
kalshi

84° to 85°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$74
N/A
N/A
$74
Settled
No
kalshi

83° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$29
N/A
N/A
$29
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest nighttime temperature in Phoenix on a specific date in the future, using official government data. The outcome depends entirely on how cold it gets during that night, with different temperature ranges determining the result.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the official minimum temperature recording for Phoenix, Arizona on July 30, 2026, as reported in the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: below 84°F, 84-85°F, 86-87°F, 88-89°F, 90-91°F, or above 91°F. The NWS report is the definitive source, and traders must use the latest version available after the date. Preliminary data from other services may differ due to rounding or conversion differences, so only the official NWS figure determines resolution. All markets are mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustive, with exactly one resolving to "Yes" based on where the actual temperature falls within these defined bands.