TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Lowest temperature in Phoenix on Jul 28, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Phoenix on Jul 28, 2026?

Volume:
$77,870

84° or below

 - Kalshi

84° or below - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 29, 2026

Closed: Jul 29, 3:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

84° or below

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$52,531
N/A
N/A
$48,915
Settled
Yes
kalshi

85° to 86°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$9,181
N/A
N/A
$6,610
Settled
No
kalshi

87° to 88°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,452
N/A
N/A
$5,826
Settled
No
kalshi

93° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,377
N/A
N/A
$2,455
Settled
No
kalshi

89° to 90°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,218
N/A
N/A
$2,179
Settled
No
kalshi

91° to 92°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,112
N/A
N/A
$1,594
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest nighttime temperature in Phoenix on a specific future date, categorizing outcomes into narrow bands to reflect precise climate expectations. It uses authoritative government data to ensure consistency and reliability in measurement.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the official minimum temperature recorded by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily) for Phoenix, AZ, on July 28, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 84°F or below, 85-86°F, 87-88°F, 89-90°F, 91-92°F, or above 92°F. The NWS report is the definitive source, and traders must use the latest version available after the date in question. While preliminary data from other services may offer guidance, only the NWS report determines resolution. Users should be aware that NWS data may include rounding or conversion nuances, and reports across locations may update at different frequencies, requiring careful verification of the final reported value.