TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Lowest temperature in Phoenix on Jul 27, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Phoenix on Jul 27, 2026?

Volume:
$12,543

93° or above

 - Kalshi

93° or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 28, 2026

Closed: Jul 28, 3:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

93° or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,240
N/A
N/A
$4,893
Settled
Yes
kalshi

91° to 92°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,347
N/A
N/A
$2,332
Settled
No
kalshi

89° to 90°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,048
N/A
N/A
$802
Settled
No
kalshi

85° to 86°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$798
N/A
N/A
$597
Settled
No
kalshi

87° to 88°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$689
N/A
N/A
$454
Settled
No
kalshi

84° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$421
N/A
N/A
$407
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Phoenix on a specific date in the future, using official government data. The outcome depends entirely on the exact temperature reading reported by the National Weather Service for that day.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the official minimum temperature recorded in Phoenix, AZ on July 27, 2026, as reported in the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 84°F or below, 85-86°F, 87-88°F, 89-90°F, 91-92°F, or above 92°F. The NWS report is the definitive source, and traders must use the latest version available after the reporting period concludes. While preliminary data from other services may offer guidance, only the NWS report determines resolution. Traders should be aware that NWS data may include rounding and conversion nuances, and reports across cities may update at different frequencies, requiring careful verification of the official Phoenix report.