TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Lowest temperature in Phoenix on Jul 25, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Phoenix on Jul 25, 2026?

Volume:
$47,692

94° to 95°

 - Kalshi

94° to 95° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 26, 2026

Closed: Jul 26, 3:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

94° to 95°

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$10,227
N/A
N/A
$5,025
Settled
Yes
kalshi

96° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$19,238
N/A
N/A
$8,597
Settled
No
kalshi

92° to 93°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,366
N/A
N/A
$3,780
Settled
No
kalshi

87° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,413
N/A
N/A
$1,926
Settled
No
kalshi

88° to 89°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,860
N/A
N/A
$1,393
Settled
No
kalshi

90° to 91°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,588
N/A
N/A
$1,589
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Phoenix on a specific future date, using official government data. The outcome depends entirely on the exact temperature reading reported by the National Weather Service for that day.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the official minimum temperature recorded in Phoenix, AZ on July 25, 2026, as reported in the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 87°F or below, 88-89°F, 90-91°F, 92-93°F, 94-95°F, or above 95°F. The NWS report is the definitive source, and traders must use the latest version available after the date in question. While preliminary data from other services may provide guidance, only the NWS report determines resolution. Traders should be aware that NWS data may include rounding and conversion nuances, and reports across cities may update at different frequencies, requiring careful verification of the official Phoenix report.