TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Lowest temperature in Phoenix on Jul 20, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Phoenix on Jul 20, 2026?

Volume:
$111,531

81° to 82°

 - Kalshi

81° to 82° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 21, 2026

Closed: Jul 21, 3:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

81° to 82°

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$18,859
N/A
N/A
$10,024
Settled
Yes
kalshi

87° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$30,814
N/A
N/A
$21,292
Settled
No
kalshi

78° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$23,378
N/A
N/A
$10,446
Settled
No
kalshi

83° to 84°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$14,171
N/A
N/A
$9,870
Settled
No
kalshi

85° to 86°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$13,332
N/A
N/A
$9,956
Settled
No
kalshi

79° to 80°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10,977
N/A
N/A
$5,786
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This market tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Phoenix on July 20, 2026. The outcome will be determined by the official National Weather Service Climatological Report (Daily) for Phoenix, which provides the authoritative minimum temperature measurement for that date.

Kalshi

Resolution is based on the minimum temperature recorded at Phoenix, Arizona on July 20, 2026, as reported in the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). The official data source is accessed via the NWS Phoenix office website under the Observed Weather tab for Phoenix, AZ. Temperature ranges are divided into six bands: 78°F or below, 79-80°F, 81-82°F, 83-84°F, 85-86°F, and 87°F or above. Each band corresponds to a distinct market outcome. Traders should note that preliminary NWS data may be subject to rounding and conversion nuances, and the final official NWS Climatological Report (Daily) serves as the definitive source, superseding other weather services.